The role of central banks in the recent rise in gold prices, the “safe haven” in 2026

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The role of central banks in the recent rise in gold prices, the “safe haven” in 2026

In 2026, the global financial market witnesses an unprecedented strategic move: significant increases in the price of gold driven by central banks around the world.

This phenomenon does not represent a temporary speculative rush, but rather a structural reconfiguration of international reserves. Recent data from the World Gold Council shows that central banks acquired more than 800 tons of gold in the first half of 2026 alone, an increase of 35% compared to the same period in 2025.

The high gold strategies promoted by central banks in 2026

The economic scenario for 2026 is characterized by a combination of factors that drive the strategic decisions of central banks. Persistent global inflation, unstable interest rates, and the fragmentation of financial markets have led monetary authorities to fundamentally reassess the composition of their reserves.

According to reports from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the central banks of China, Russia, India, and Brazil led gold purchases in 2026, with respective increases of 21%, 18%, 15%, and 12% in their gold reserves.

The European Central Bank also surprised the market by announcing a coordinated gold purchase program among its members, representing a significant departure from its previous strategy.

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Volume of gold purchases by central banks (2024-2026)

  • 2024: 650 tons
  • 2025: 720 tons
  • 2026 (annual projection): 950 tons

Geopolitical factors behind gold price increases in 2026

The intensified geopolitical tensions since 2024 have been catalysts for the repositioning of international reserves. The conflict in Eastern Europe, trade disputes between Pacific powers, and the growing fragmentation of the international financial system have created an environment where asset security has become a top priority.

The 2026 Gold Demand Trends survey reveals that 78% of central banks cite “protection against geopolitical uncertainty” as the primary factor for their gold purchases. This percentage represents a significant increase from the 52% recorded in 2023.

A concrete example is the case of Turkey, which increased its gold reserves by 40% between 2025 and 2026 in direct response to regional tensions and the volatility of its currency. Similarly, the Gulf countries collectively expanded their gold positions by 25%, seeking to diversify their reserves, which had historically been concentrated in US dollars.

de-dollarization and its impact on highs of gold in the market international

The de-dollarization movement, which gained significant momentum starting in 2024, reached a critical point in 2026. IMF data show that the dollar’s share of global reserves fell to 54% in the second quarter of 2026, compared to 59% in 2023 and 71% in 2000.

This systematic reduction has been favored a3> favored not only alternative currencies such as the euro, yuan, and yen, but mainly gold, which increased its share in a17> reserves globally from 11% in 2023 to approximately 16% in 2026.

The tokenization of real assets such as gold has facilitated this transition, enabling more efficient operations that are less dependent on the dollar-dominated financial system.

The new arrangements monetary regional, such as the CIPS cross-border interbank payment system and settlement mechanisms and settlement mechanisms based on blockchain, have enabled direct transactions in digital gold between central banks, reducing the need for intermediation via the dollar and driving even more the highs of gold.

Change in the composition of international reserves (2023-2026)

  • US dollar: 59% → 54%
  • Euro: 21% → 19%
  • Japanese yen: 5.4% → 5.1%
  • Chinese yuan: 2.9% → 5.8%
  • Gold: 11% → 16%

Digital assets vs. gold: complements, not competitors, in gold rallies

In 2026, we see a significant evolution in the relationship between physical and digital gold. Central banks are adopting hybrid approaches, maintaining traditional physical reserves while exploring the advantages of tokenizing gold-based financial assets.

BLOCKBR Station has stood out in this scenario as a market infrastructure that connects regulated agents to blockchain technology, enabling the issuance and operation of gold-backed tokens with full regulatory compliance. This system has been instrumental in increasing operational efficiency and liquidity in the gold market without compromising the legal certainty required by central banks.

OECD data indicates that approximately 8% of central banks’ gold reserves are already digitally represented through tokens, a significant development considering that this percentage was practically zero in 2023.

At this point, our tokenization infrastructure stands out for providing the issuance of gold tokens that maintain complete traceability of physical backing, ESG certifications, and integration with regulated depositories. Blockchain technology enables real-time verification of reserves, eliminating traditional concerns about the verifiability of physical gold backing that historically affected market confidence.

Outlook for investors amid continued gold price increases

For individual and institutional investors, the rise in gold prices in 2026 represents both challenges and opportunities. The continued appreciation of this asset has created a ripple effect in other markets, with observable negative correlations with global stock indices and positive correlations with strategic commodities.

Balanced investment strategies for this new scenario include:

  • Allocation of 10-15% of the portfolio to gold exposure (directly or via tokenization of real assets)
  • Geographic diversification of positions, considering operations in different jurisdictions
  • Combination of physical and tokenized positions to optimize liquidity and custody costs
  • Analysis of correlations between gold and other asset classes for strategic rebalancing

Data from Bloomberg Intelligence project that highs of gold should continue throughout 2026 and 2027, with prices potentially reaching US$4,000 per ounce by the end of next year, especially if the end of next year, especially if central banks maintain their current pace. a26> maintain their current pace of acquisitions.

Projection of price of gold (2026-2027)

  • December 2026: US$ 3,700-3,800
  • June 2027: US$ 3,850-3,950
  • December 2027: US$ 3,900-4,100

Conclusion: gold as a systemic asset in a world undergoing transformation

The rise in gold prices in 2026 is not an isolated phenomenon, but rather a reflection of a profound transformation in the international financial system. By strategically reallocating their reserves to gold, central banks are signaling a move to protect against systemic uncertainties and seek assets that maintain value in scenarios of monetary disorganization.

To keep pace with this structural shift, blockchain technology and tokenization infrastructure have become fundamental elements, enabling more efficient, transparent and secure operations. The interface between the traditional gold market and the digital ecosystem represents the modernization necessary for this asset millennial continue relevant

BLOCKBR is a Tokenization Infratech for scaling businesses. We offer complete and pioneering tokenization infrastructure that provides autonomy and transforms any company into a digital asset financial market agent to act as a digital broker. Based on the concept of end-to-end tokenization, we offer the entire embedded finance structure.

Everything is done simply, quickly, and without red tape, leaving all the regulatory and technological complexity to us.

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